Bets Of The Day: Morrison chasing gold at Nottingham
15:30 Thirsk – Huge price for Dods' filly
On a very tricky punting day, I'm prepared to take a bit of a flyer on Richter Scale – who lines up in a tremendously open 5f handicap on Tuesday.
Firstly, there's a big field with speed everywhere, and the selection is drawn in 11.
She looked quite a handy juvenile, and landed her maiden over C&D last term by three lengths. Her trainer Michael Dods mentioned her as potential Royal Ascot material. The handler also pondered the fact she might see out an extra furlong.
The grey filly didn't quite 'kick on' in 2015, and we've barely seen her this year with just one outing.
That seasonal reappearance came at Newcastle over 6f, and the winner Mustallib is an improver. Richter Scale ran well-enough for that comeback outing, and she'll be a lot fitter dropping back down in trip. That was also a slightly better race than today's.
The handicapper has lowered her 7lb in two runs, and I'm tempted at such a big price from a mark of 75. She has plenty of pace, and is not one to write off just yet.
19:00 Nottingham – Don't give up on Hughie's Atalan
He won over C&D earlier in the season, looking like a proper galloper on good ground. So it has been ultra-disappointing that he has followed that run with two flops. On the plus side; he returns to a venue he has scored at.
Trainer Hughie Morrison has opted for the blinkers, an angle I like. He also takes on a few opponents that are not exactly 'win machines'. Ivanhoe is 1-30, Longside might not stay, Fix Up Look Sharp's trainer hasn't had a winner this season, whilst Lineman could well-treated, but hasn't won in 14 attempts on turf. Denham Sound is the danger on his maiden form, but this race is up for grabs.
I also have a theory to test regarding Atalan's Sandown defeat. He made the running that evening, and dropped away tamely. However, there was a headwind that night, and bar the 5f contest, four of the five races went to hold-up rides. I recall Jamie Spencer being in typically brilliantly form with a treble – all coming from off the pace with plenty of cover.
The selection is a better horse than his latest run, and whilst he isn't the biggest, his half-brother Vent De Force (trained by Morrison in the same colours) is a very useful performer over this sort of trip.
His conqueror at Sandown could be a Cesarewitch horse, and there's nothing of that calibre in this easier race.
Tuesday's Recommended Bets (both half point)
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Weekly P/L: +4.80
Previous week: -4.80
2015 P/L: +20.14Read More at betfair.com