Cambridgeshire: five key trends to find the winner

Third Time Lucky is bidding to win back-to-back Cambridgeshires

PICTURE: Mark Cranham (racingpost.com/photos) Cambridgeshire: five key trends to find the winner By Alex Wiltshire 13:20PM 24 SEP 2016

Let us narrow down the field and help you find a winner with these key ten-year trends for the Cambridgeshire

Weight
In the last ten years only three horses have won the Cambridgeshire carrying a weight of greater than 9st. Of those three only Educate in 2013 has won with an assigned weight of more than 9st 2lb when he won carrying 9st 9lb. Tazeez won in 2008 with 9st 2lb, and Supaseus 9st 1lb.

Betting
For those wanting to back one at long-odds it may not make good reading to see that seven of the last ten winners of the Cambridgeshire have come from the top five in the betting. Prince Of Johanne sprung a shock in 2011 when winning at 40-1, and Tazeez won as a 25-1 chance in 2008. Two favourites have won in the last ten years with Educate and Pipedreamer I returning for favourite-backers in 2007 and 2013.

Age
Four-year-olds have won just twice in the last ten years, a fairly poor record as they form the largest represented age-group with 122 runners in the period. Three-year-olds, by comparison, have four wins from 65 runners. Zhui Feng, Ode To Evening, Banksea and Very Talented are the four three-year-olds in this year's race.

First time over 1m1f
Eight of the last ten winners were making their first start over 1m1f in the Cambridgeshire. The only two who had previously run over 1m1f were Bronze Angel in 2014 (but it was his first start over 1m1f when he won in 2012) and Supaseus. Five of the last ten winners were dropping back in trip.

Recorded a win earlier in the season
Nine of the last ten winners had recorded a success earlier in the season. Supaseus was the only horse not to have won earlier in the campaign when he landed the race in 2009.

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