Man On The Spot: Don’t oppose St
Our resident tipster Man On The Spot previews the Group race action from Irish Champions Weekend and from Chantilly.
Order Of St George can justify his short price in the Palmerstown House Estate Irish St Leger
This is a trial for the Prix de l'Abbaye, the race that GOLDREAM won last year. Robert Cowell's charge was well beaten in the Nunthorpe last time but was ahead of Marsha when third in Group 2 at Goodwood before that and gets the vote. The much travelled Mirza was well beaten here before finishing closer at Deauville last time and is preferred to Just Glamorous while Catcall went close over track and trip in June and makes more appeal than the unexposed Gold Vibe. Largent Du Bonheur was ahead of Spiritfix and subsequent winner Porthilly when fourth in a Listed sprint at Deauville on his latest start.
Sir Michael Stoute last won this in 2001 with Golan and runs Midterm today. The latter has been rested since returning a losing favourite in the Dante at York in May but today's ground will suit and he should go well. But he's up against the Japanese Derby winner MAKAHIKI in this, currently 8/1 for the Arc and expected to start a short price today. Andre Fabre won this last year with subsequent Arc third New Bay and the progressive Doha Dream is preferred to Darabad and Carzoff of the home challengers.
BEST IN THE WORLD has not exactly lived up to her name so far but won a Group Three at Cork last time when well ahead of Shamreen. She has plenty to spare on these terms with stablemate Santa Monica, though they were closely matched on the track here in July and Frankie picks up the ride on the latter. How High The Moon is a third Ballydoyle runner and was ahead of Planchart when placed at Naas earlier, while though Cirin Toinne has it all to do at the weights she has plenty of scope for improvement.
The first four from last year take up arms once again with Sole Power looking to repeat his victory over Maarek, TAKE COVER (NAP) and Toscanini. But the latter pair have shown better form since then with Toscanini winning a Group Three sprint over 6f here last time and David Griffiths' charge beating Washington Dc and Spirit Quartz in a Group Two at Goodwood in July. He's since finished third in the Nunthorpe at York when ahead of several of these including Cotai Glory and also beat the latter in a Listed race at Haydock back in May. Monsieur Joe ran well in Listed company in France last time, while In Salutem finished ahead of Ardhoomey when second at Navan last week.
Candarliya won a Group 2 over 1m6f at Saint-Cloud in July but this shorter trip is no problem while Charlie Appleby's Endless Time won the Group 2 Lancashire Oaks at Haydock in the same month. But the latter ran a shocker in the Yorkshire Oaks last time and another Group 2 winner in HIGHLANDS QUEEN is preferred. The three-year-old filly is still improving judged on the way she dotted-up at Deauville last month and is preferred to another recent Deauville winner in Left Hand. Golden Valentine beat The Juliet Rose in a Group 3, also at Deauville, but this looks tougher.
Minding won this for Ballydoyle last year and PROMISE TO BE TRUE has all the makings of a high-class filly. She needed only to be pushed out to land a Group Three at Leopardstown in July and Ryan Moore prefers her to stablemate and Group Two winner Rhododendron. The latter beat four of these when scoring over track and trip though Hydrangea was only beaten a head – Intricately, Rehana and Brave Anna were further behind. Jim Bolger could have found a much easier opportunity than this for his newcomer Dawn Of A New Era so the sister to the top-class Dawn Approach and Group Two winner Herald The Dawn could turn out to be a bit special, even if this task proves too much first time out.
The progressive ZELZAL looks the one to beat in this. A Group 3 winner here in June, Jean-Claude Rouget's colt won the Group 1 Prix Jean Prat over course and distance in good style last time and may prove too good for Charlie Hills' Lennox Stakes winner Dutch Connection. Vadamos is a Group 2 winner and was beaten less than a length in the Jacques Le Marois last time while French Derby runner-up Zarak drops back down in trip.Spectre has a bit to find with the selection and Trixia needs to take another step forward after landing a Group 3 at Deauville.
CHURCHILL is fancied to record a third straight win in this for Aidan O'Brien. The Galileo colt improves with every run and landed the odds with the minimum of fuss in the Group Two Futurity over course and distance three weeks ago with stablemate Lancaster Bomber well behind. He looks to have most to fear from Richard Hannon's Mehmas, who added the Richmond Stakes at Goodwood last time to his earlier win in the July Stakes at Newmarket and should at least make a race of it with the Ballydoyle colt. Psychedelic Funk has a bit to find with Mehmas on earlier running at Ascot while the Haggas colt Lockheed will need to step up on his third in the Acomb at York last time. Son Of Rest and Finn McCool were both placed in maiden races on their respective debuts and have scope.
SILVERWAVE won the Group 1 Grand Prix De Saint-Cloud in July with a bit in hand. Pascal Bary's colt can confirm running with sixth-placed One Foot In Heaven, who had earlier won a Group 2 contest over track and trip. It wasn't the strongest Group 1 that Elliptique won in Munich on his latest start but Andre Fabre's charge should confirm superiority with German raider Ito.
Aidan O'Brien made a clean sweep of the Group One races on last year's card and if the two previous contests went to plan, he'll be confident of repeating that feat as ORDER OF ST GEORGE won this last year. The latter has improved further this season winning all three starts with the highlight being a convincing win in the Ascot Gold Cup and he'll start a short-price for this. Trip To Paris – now tried in blinkers – won the Gold Cup at Ascot last year and was fancied to get back on track in the Lonsdale Cup at York last month but never threatened and finished behind third-placed Wicklow Brave. The latter was also a well-beaten third in last year's renewal while Unicorn looks set to ensure a decent pace for the selection and Kellstorm and Silwana will be fighting it out for the remaining prize money.
Walzertakt was awarded this race last year having passed the post in second though he still beat Kicky Blue with Mille Et Mille well behind. But the German challenger will find this year's renewal tougher as VAZIRABAD looks a cut above the rest. The latter's winning run came to end in a Group 1 event at Saint-Cloud when dropped back to 1m4f but he'll take the beating back over this longer distance. Both Nahual and Settler's Son have something to find at this level and may struggle.
Latest Each Way Double Tip
|Date||Time / Course||Silk||Selection||Price|
|£5 Each Way Double Pays £813.00 with Bet365|
|22 Aug 2017||15:45 Kempton (A.W.)||Satchville Flyer|
|22 Aug 2017||19:50 Sligo (IRE)||King Blue|