Sunday Irish Racing Tips: Primo can down Acapulco on Irish debut
Today's Curragh card showcases the joys of punting on Irish summer racing; going that was rattling fast at declaration time is now on the slow side of good. At least we had yesterday's meeting to gauge the effect of the rain but these situations again show how important weather forecasting websites are for Irish punters!
Acapulco is begging to be taken on for one simple reason: she may not be much good at this point. After having every developmental advantage as a juvenile, she was way below that form at three and has already missed one target this spring. The Woodlands Stakes at Navan might be the best way into this and there is a case to be made that Ardhoomey will improve for that run. However, this softened ground is not ideal and he had the run of things judged on sectionals last time.
Primo Uomo, who came from behind and met trouble, could reverse form now. A thriving sort that handles some cut, he will be suited by this easier track too while he would be certainly be a fitting winner of the inaugural Sole Power Stakes as he's another fast horse, in possession of the five-furlong track record at Dundalk as things stand.
Lagostovegas is a potential improver for the move to Willie Mullins but the market has already reacted to that view and she would prefer some rain which seems unlikely. Preference is for the trainer's other runner Chambord Du Lys. She was sent off favourite for a similar race at Fairyhouse over Easter and ran a lot better than her finishing position of sixth; racing too keenly, she travelled strongly to the second last and hit a low of [3.0] before fading. It was her first run in two months so she may have needed it while the hood has been applied to help her settle better.
Look Closer is worth a small saver with the ground in his favour. He's been in great form in the last month and is a likeable sort who did well to beat older horses last time.
Though wrong at the weights, Lady Derrynane might be improving fast enough to defy both that and a 9lbs rise for her win at Cork. That was an excellent effort against race-fit rivals and there should be more to come from her up to this trip. The stable form is another obvious plus and while the presence of Bay Hill and possible absence of pace are concerns, the price compensates.
While 19 runners go to post for this mile handicap, the race has little depth and it could be worth chancing Castle Guest at big prices. He's raced in higher grades much of his career and has dropped to a mark of 88 which he won off here last August, form that proved quite solid with the second winning next time. His recent form appears terrible but he's been the victim of some ordinary rides, notably when asked to make his ground far too wide at Leopardstown on his seasonal return, and should benefit from getting the in-form Shane Foley back in the saddle.
1 Point Back Primo Uomo @ [9.0] or bigger in the Curragh 14:55
1 Point Place Back Primo Uomo @ [2.7] or bigger in the Curragh 14:55
1 Point Back Chambord Du Lys @ [10.5] or bigger in the Killarney 15:35
0.5 Point Back Look Closer @ [15.0] or bigger in the Killarney 15:35
1 Point Back Lady Derrynane @ [11.5] or bigger in the Curragh 16:25
0.5 Point Back Castle Guest @ [17.0] or bigger in the Curragh 17:25
0.5 Point Place Back Castle Guest @ [4.5] or bigger in the Curragh 17:25
2017 P+L: +8.75 points