Tip of the Day: Buckle up

Ian Ogg heads to Ffos Las for the sportinglife.com tip of the day and sides with a runner from an in-form yard.

Andrew Balding, trainer of Swashbuckle

Swashbuckle, 6.30 Ffos Las

It’s a funny old game.

Whether you’re being subbed 20 minutes after coming on as a sub because you’re too short (I wonder what Sam Allardyce would make of such a decision) or whether you’re a regally bred horse who ends up as a plater, pedigree doesn’t always count for much.

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Take Hibou. He is not plating class with a rating of 79 but he was the 11/10 favourite on his third start for Charlie Appleby but could only finish ninth with his unvaunted stablemate Hawkbill finishing third. He had just two more runs for the Newmarket handler and is having his second for Iain Jardine as he bids to get back on track at Ayr.

Someone who is firmly on track at Ayr is Irish based Adrian Keatley who has sent out seven winners from 14 runners at the venue this season. He runs four today and it would be no surprise to see him maintain that strike rate.

Despite that it’s off to Ffos Las for today’s offering with Swashbuckle fancied to follow-up his recent course and distance success and maintain the good run of Andrew Balding and David Probert.

The three-year-old is a general 2/1 chance with David Simcock’s handicap debutant Nonios currently edging him in the market and it’s easy to see why with the form of his second run at Wolverhampton well advertised by the winner.

Swashubckle made all in a slowly run affair and dug deep to gain the verdict by half a length for which he’s been bumped up by 5lbs. The market leader flopped too and this does look a deeper race but it could be dangerous to underestimate this three-year-old who has always shaped like a stayer and has improved from run to run.

Posted 0843 BST on 08/08/2016

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