Walk in the park for Blue Point

Ian Ogg analyses the last 10 renewals of the Cheveley Park Stakes and Middle Park Stakes and picks out the key statistics.

Blue Point can show his rivals a clean pair of heels

There have been five winning favourites of the Juddmonte Middle Park Stakes in the last 10 years but also two winners that were returned at 22/1 and 25/1.

One thing that has been consistent is winning form on the previous outing with only Aidan O'Brien's Crusade coming up short.

Aidan O'Brien will be hoping for more of the same from Peace Envoy who Ryan Moore rides in preference to Intelligence Cross and the form of their latest starts will have been put to the test in the preceding Cheveley Park Stakes.

Five winners contested the Prix Morny on their previous start and it could just be that Peace Envoy bumped into two smart fillies but neither the fourth nor the fifth have done anything for the form since.

The Gimcrack has only provided one winner in this period but had supplied two of the previous three and Blue Point is a short price having comfortably brushed aside Mokarris on the Knavesmire with Mubtasim (had excuses and returned to form at Doncaster) eighth.

His only defeat came at the hands of Mehmas but he appeared to be ill-suited by Goodwood on that occasion.

Connections will be confident that he can reverse the form and he's taken to justify his odds and provide Charlie Appleby a second Middle Park victory in three years.

  • Five favourites have been successful.
  • Nine winners won their preceding start.
  • Four winners were unbeaten, only one had been beaten more than twice.
  • All of the winners had won over six furlongs.
  • Six winners made their debut no earlier than June.
  • Six winners were successful on debut.
  • Eight winners had won a Group Two or Group One.

The Connolly's Red Mills Cheveley Park Stakes is at the mercy of Lady Aurelia.

The Group One has been a good race for favourites and a good race for runners who make all or race on the pace.

The Prix Morny that she won last time has been a good guide with three winners coming via the French Group One and the only slight doubt is that her sire, Scat Daddy, has a lower stamina index than any of the winning sires in the last decade.

The Lowther Stakes has also provided three winners and Queen Kindly and Roly Poly represent the York form but the latter's first success only came by a short-head which is a negative on the stats below.

The Round Tower Stakes, in which Holy Cat finished second, provided 2011 winner Lightning Pearl although Ger Lyons' filly had won the Curragh Group Three.

  • Winners have been priced between 6/4 and 4/1 with five favourites (including one joint) successful.
  • Winners had had between two and seven career starts; two were unbeaten having had two and three starts.
  • All winners had their preceding start in either September (three) or August (seven).
  • All winners finished first or second on their preceding start. Three of those that lost were beaten in the Group One Prix Morny with the other running in the Lowther.
  • Four winners made their debut in either May or June, three in July and one in each of March, April & August.
  • Nine winners finished either first or second on their debuts.
  • All the winners achieved their first success by a winning margin of at least a length; eight by at least two lengths.

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